US fears China may declare no-fly zone over Taiwan; Shoot down an ‘invading’ plane in the middle of Pelosi’s visit

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The United States is concerned that China may declare a no-fly zone over Taiwan in response to a possible visit to the island by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, CNN reported.

‘Sending fighter jets, bombing military bases’ – China warns of ‘military action’ if Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan

China could impose a no-fly zone over Taiwanese airspace or fly fighter jets further into Taiwan’s air defense zone in response to a visit by Pelosi, the report said Thursday, quoting a US official.

Such actions could trigger a response from Taiwan or the United States, the official also reportedly said, although details of the response were not included.

Pelosi is planning a trip to Taiwan in the coming weeks, the report said, citing three sources familiar with the matter. Pelosi would become the oldest U.S. lawmaker to visit Taiwan in the 25 years since former House Speaker Newt Gingrich’s trip to the region in 1997, the report added.

Beijing will take decisive action if Pelosi continues his visit to Taiwan, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said Thursday.

China has repeatedly criticized the United States for maintaining official contacts with Taiwan, saying such actions undermine China’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and cause instability in the region.

US President Joe Biden, responding to the reported trip, said the military does not consider the visit a good idea at this time. Pelosi declined to comment on any travel plans due to security concerns when asked about a possible visit to Taiwan.

The United States wants Japan on its side

The United States, anticipating a conflict with its Russian and Chinese rivals, is trying to strengthen two crucial areas of military operations – command and control and logistics.

In the first case, the US Air Force introduced the Combat Axis training program to test and refine command and control capabilities in the event of “degraded communications”.

In the latter, the Pacific Deterrence Initiative (PDI) Document submitted to Congress admitted poor base, supply, and logistics that cannot support sustained high-intensity combat in the Western Pacific or Indo-Pacific region.

Eurasian timeon May 6, reported that the PDI document also wrote about Deputy Commandant of the United States Marine Corps, General Eric Smith, admitting to “nasty” logistical issues that could plague the Corps’ Force Design 2030 concept on May 19 June.

Previous reports by Eurasian Times had referred to the enormous “external disadvantage” that the American military faces in the Western Pacific in front of China, the latter benefiting ‘home field advantage’ to rapidly replenish its forces. Pentagon-Ordered Wargames by the RAND Corporation, too, had repeatedly resulted in devastating defeats in an eventuality in Taiwan, with China overwhelming the military in Taipei and Washington with thousands of boats, jets, drones and planes.

Command and control

In Combat Axe, a Weapons Systems Evaluation Program (WSEP) under USAF Chief of Staff General Charles Q Brown Jr.’s “Accelerate or Lose” strategic approach, the force presents high-end scenarios and data collection and analysis.

It is to arm “senior leaders, combat commanders and operators with a better understanding of the performance of the Air Force’s C2 weapon systems against maturing threats.” It also serves secondarily as an advanced training experience for combat-ready operators.

First landing of an F-35A in one of the countries of the former Yugoslavia, two @usairforce AIM-120 carrying Lightning II of the 134FS went to Skopje, in North Macedonia.

Intended for combined and joint operations with friendly forces, Combat Ax was used in recent air-to-air exercises Combat Archer 22.08 and Checkered Flag 22-2 at Tyndall Air Force Base in Florida. Squadrons from the US Air Force, US Navy and Royal Australian Air Force participated in complex “high force” “air-to-air” scenarios while undertaking live-arms fire.

The E-2C, E-3G, and E-7A aircrews of the 81st Air Control Squadron integrated command and control (C2) tactics into an environment that replicated the relevant operational challenges the weapon systems would face.

The sensors of each weapon system and the combination of data links and communication tactics create a common operational picture through the C2 architecture. C2 crews used the data to identify increased speed, accuracy and confidence and share these threats with participating fighter aircraft.

However, the United States faces upgrade delays regarding its Link 16 data link systems, a matter seized by the House Armed Services Committee. He asked the Government Accountability Office (GAO) to identify the challenges and suggest ways to speed up the upgrades.

The Link 16, fitted to older 4+ and 4++ fighters like the F-16, was identified as vulnerable to interception by F-35 test pilot Billie Flynn in his interview with the Eurasian Times. , but also limited in scope of data. he can transmit. On the contrary, the F-35’s Multi-Function Advanced Data Link (MADL) is more secure and sends encrypted and diverse data packets to other F-35s, creating a more holistic picture of the battlespace.

Bad logistics

The PDI document submitted to Congress in the meantime points to the US military’s inability to stockpile sufficient fuel, food, ammunition and medical supplies from the second island to forward sites in Taiwan and Japan near the China.

Stretching from the Japanese islands of Ogasawara to the US territory of Guam and Papua New Guinea, the Chinese military is expected to block America’s access here.

The Ministry of Defense has suggested bolstering fuel storage capacity at the US Marine Air Station at Iwakuni in Japan and Yokota Air Base in Tokyo. “Bulk tanks will store wartime reserve jet fuel needed to support emergency operations pending resupply from tankers,” the Pentagon document said.

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File Image: Aircraft assigned to Carrier Air Wing (CVW) 2 and CVW 9 fly over the Philippine Sea Jan. 22, 2022. Operating as part of the U.S. Pacific Fleet, units assigned to Carrier Strike Groups Carl Vinson and Abraham Lincoln , Essex and America Amphibious Ready Groups and Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force. US Navy Photo

In a June webinar hosted by the Stimson Center and reported by the Eurasian Times, USMC Deputy Commanding General Eric Smith admitted that logistics remains a “pace challenge” and no one wants to talk about the ” dirty secret”.

Smith spoke in the context of Force Design 2030, which envisions small mobile marine units spread across the First Island Chain and islands controlled by friendly nations in the East and South China Seas. These will undertake “long-range fires” on Chinese military and air assets.

Faced with a recognized disadvantage in front of its DF-21D and DF-23 missiles which prevent large American combatants like aircraft carriers and other surface combatants from approaching, the FD-2030 also aims to integrate into distributed maritime operations ( DMO) of the US Navy.

The US Navy’s DMO requires a larger fleet of 500 ships with smaller semi-autonomous/unmanned vessels and an expanded logistics force. It cuts large carriers and large surface fighters while stripping routine loads from them. With DMO and FD-2030, the idea is to be more undetectable, mobile, dispersed, to get closer and hit China inside the A2/AD bubble.

“Logistics is the pace challenge. We don’t have the logistical capacity to work with what we have now. We cannot rely on large, heavy rigs to be loaded onto a strategic lift on 30 days notice while we waddle in support. Force Design 2030 reduces the problem because it relies on lighter, mobile and smaller forces,” Smith said.

Consolidating mutual defense treaties with allies like Japan and South Korea is a way to pre-position forces on the islands they control, for example the Ryukyus with basic agreements.

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